There are two types of hard drive:
1 those which have failed
2 those which haven't failed... yet.
All that MBTF stats will tell you is that, after testing, 50% of Brand X Type 1 Drives will fail before 10,000 hours of use and 50% will fail after 10,000 hours. That 10,000 hours (or 20,000, or 40,000, or 50,000, or even 100,000) includes today. It includes the next five minutes. I'm typing this on a relatively new iMac G5; if the drive died tonight, I'd be surprised... .but because I
know from past experience that any drive can die at any time without any warning, I've got my stuff backed up. (SuperDuper! runs every night at 00:30 and copies my stuff over to another drive. It's possible that both might die at the same time, but very, very, VERY improbable. If either drive dies, I'll have a replacement for it as soon as possible and certainly within 48 hours, so there's only a very small window for both drives to die and take all my data. And the important stuff is backed up on DVDs; that way not only would both drives have to die, but the DVDs would have to be rendered unreadable. Again, not impossible, but...)
Sorry, but I'm afraid that you have a case
only if you can demonstrate that a large (that is, statistically significant) number of drives are failing before the MTBF. If, say, 60% of drives die before the MBTF,
that would be significant. 51% dying, not so. Furthermore, a lot of drives die not because of a problem with the drive, but because of external factors: heat, power mishaps, gravity, static electricity, and moisture would be the biggies. You'd better be able to
prove that the drive didn't get too hot, that it didn't get wet or even was running in conditions which were too humid, (heat and humidity factors are
listed in the operating conditions of the system) and that you didn't drop it or drop something on it, and that the drive electronics didn't get zapped by static electricity (usually caused by someone who's not grounded properly handling the drive) and that the local power company didn't kill the drive with a surge or a sag or bad frequency.
Just buy a new drive and have done. The old 40GB drives in older eMacs were dogs, anyway; a nice new Hitachi 250GB drive will have six times the space, spin 30% faster, and use less power. And only costs about $100 to 130, depending on where you buy it.