For all we know, 100% of the Mac mini out there do have the problem.
How do you know that?
I'm following this thread from the beginning, read all posts, and there are reports of people not having this problem. People without problems are not very likely to end up reading this thread and report about it.
Apple was collecting MacMini's with problems, why? Because they couldn't reproduce it with random units rolling out the factory. So there are good units out there.
And probably a large batch of bad ones, with various degrees of severity.
Your view of the problem is just as skewed as anyone's, including mine. None of us knows anything. For all you know, like I said, the people reporting "no problem" simply don't follow whatever usage scenario is necessary to exhibit the problem. That can apply equally to the testing Apple is/was doing, which would also explain why they shipped people replacement machines which were also affected.
It is perfectly possible that people with "good" machines could get a "bad" machine and not have a problem with it, just as it is perfectly possible that people with "bad" machines could get sent a "good" machine and see the same problems. Get it? That's the way tricky problems keep from being solved after weeks/months.
And there are probably plenty of people who have experienced the problem but not been troubled enough to mention it anywhere. As I have stated here, the only reason I found out it was a widespread issue is because I read it in a review on a tech site. Who knows how many thousands of people who aren't technically inclined might just be ignoring the blinking . . . for now.
There is absolutely nothing you can assume about the nature of the issue (hardware or software, incidence rates, etc.) based on what information is available. Until the problem is identified, you simply can't make claims that there is even a single working Mac mini, or conclude that is hardware issue.
It seems randomly because it is randomly. Nobody found a usage pattern yet, because there probably is none.
Technology does not work that way. It fails because it is not up to specifications, or because it gets into an unanticipated state. Or countless other specfic, decidedly-non-random reasons.
Yet ALL the iPhone4 had the same problem.
You support my point! Even if ALL devices have the same problem, usage patterns could make it hard to find and fix. Also note that the "problem" with the iPhone antenna did not lead to a recall, so if you claim there is a parity issue here, the burden is on you to say exactly what the fatal hardware issue is with the Mac mini. Since I doubt you can, consider speaking with less certainty about the issue.
This costs less then the reputation damage done by a public anouncement that all Mac Mini's were shipped with known video issues.
That is a dangerous gamble for Apple to make. If I can no longer trust Apple to announce that their products are broken, it devalues their brand in my mind and in the marketplace. How much less is my mini worth, is every mini worth, now that this problem is well-known but without a solution? I'm certainly not going to line up to buy the next Apple release if this is their new way of handling dud products. The damage to their reputation only gets worse as time goes on.
The timing to acknowledge anything is really bad now, amidst the christmas sales.
The timing is worse afterwards! Who wants the first experience with their sweet, new, gifted Mac to be one of glitches and warranty replacement hassles? Or discovering only after 2 years that, when you try to sell it, it is worth $100 less (or just plain worthless) because it was part of a known-bad release? No, Apple would be fools to follow your thinking (which is not to say you're wrong).
Don't forget this thread gives a distorted view on reality. You can't know the percentage of people having the issue.
And, again, neither can you. Until the actual problem is known, the safe assumption from a purchasing standpoint is to assume that the odds you'll get a bad Mac mini is 100% and that there will be no fix for it in any reasonable timeframe. It's not a show-stopper for me, but it might be for someone else. More troubling for me is the ongoing fiasco that has this issue pushing up towards 50 pages of comments.