Time Machine seems to be deleting backups unnecessarily
Data (used / total) volumes are as follows:
Macintosh HD: 80 / 250GB (of the 80GB, 23GB is configured to be ignored by TM)
USB drive 1: 463 / 640GB
USB drive 2: Time Machine (see below) / 640GB
All drives are encrypted with FileVault 2. Some days ago I used TM to back up (afresh) my system disk. Then yesterday I plugged in my USB drive 1 and backed that up. The backup completed fine. Just now, TM informs me that it plans to backup the whole of the USB drive again and I have watched as it has deleted the backup that contained the data from USB drive 1. When i 'Enter Time Machine' I can see only the very latest backup from earlier today. I went into Console and checked the System Log for lines that cnotain 'backup' but cannot see anything that suggests a major error. Below is the output so far for this ongoing backup:
Jan 25 23:32:37 Amarantus.local com.apple.backupd[1811]: Starting manual backup
Jan 25 23:32:37 Amarantus.local com.apple.backupd[1811]: Backing up to: /Volumes/Chronos/Backups.backupdb
Jan 25 23:32:38 Amarantus.local com.apple.backupd[1811]: Forcing deep traversal on source: "Apollo" (mount: '/Volumes/Apollo' fsUUID: 3E7BB8EC-1E44-3A61-8E9A-BA1EB31B54F4 eventDBUUID: 119D0F0D-E532-41D6-AB2A-65BDA38F9856)
Jan 25 23:32:51 Amarantus.local com.apple.backupd[1811]: Deep event scan at path:/Volumes/Apollo reason:must scan subdirs|require scan|
Jan 25 23:32:51 Amarantus.local com.apple.backupd[1811]: Finished scan
Jan 25 23:32:53 Amarantus.local com.apple.backupd[1811]: Found 14709 files (463.78 GB) needing backup
Jan 25 23:32:53 Amarantus.local com.apple.backupd[1811]: 558.27 GB required (including padding), 126.79 GB available
Jan 25 23:32:55 Amarantus.local com.apple.backupd[1811]: Deleted backup /Volumes/Chronos/Backups.backupdb/Amarantus/2013-01-22-023427 containing 356 KB; 126.8 GB now available, 558.27 GB required
Jan 25 23:32:56 Amarantus.local com.apple.backupd[1811]: Deleted backup /Volumes/Chronos/Backups.backupdb/Amarantus/2013-01-22-013429 containing 356 KB; 126.8 GB now available, 558.27 GB required
Jan 25 23:32:56 Amarantus.local com.apple.backupd[1811]: Removed 2 expired backups so far, more space is needed - deleting oldest backups to make room
Jan 25 23:33:04 Amarantus.local com.apple.backupd[1811]: Deleted backup /Volumes/Chronos/Backups.backupdb/Amarantus/2013-01-21-181408 containing 17.2 MB; 126.82 GB now available, 558.27 GB required
Jan 25 23:33:04 Amarantus.local com.apple.backupd[1811]: Removed 3 expired backups so far, more space is needed - deleting oldest backups to make room
Jan 25 23:33:30 Amarantus.local com.apple.backupd[1811]: Deleted backup /Volumes/Chronos/Backups.backupdb/Amarantus/2013-01-22-003429 containing 202.3 MB; 127.03 GB now available, 558.27 GB required
Jan 25 23:33:30 Amarantus.local com.apple.backupd[1811]: Removed 4 expired backups so far, more space is needed - deleting oldest backups to make room
Jan 25 23:33:59 Amarantus.local com.apple.backupd[1811]: Deleted backup /Volumes/Chronos/Backups.backupdb/Amarantus/2013-01-24-115959 containing 463.05 GB; 590.08 GB now available, 558.27 GB required
Jan 25 23:33:59 Amarantus.local com.apple.backupd[1811]: Deleted 5 backups containing 463.27 GB total; 590.08 GB now available, 558.27 GB required
Jan 25 23:33:59 Amarantus.local com.apple.backupd[1811]: Backup date range was shortened: oldest backup is now Jan 25, 2013
Jan 25 23:35:08 Amarantus.local com.apple.backupd[1811]: Copied 17357 files (355.6 MB) from volume Amarantus HD.
Jan 25 23:55:45 Amarantus.local com.apple.backupd[1811]: Error: (-36) SrcErr:YES Copying /Volumes/Apollo/Lyre/Music/Bob Dylan/Desire/02 Isis.aif to (null)
I realise that with the extra space needed, the TM drive is well over half full, but for more than a year I have backed up a similar configuration continuously. It only registered a problem with capacity when, for example, I moved 200GB of data around on my USB drive. I have done nothing of the kind since it was last backed up successfully yesterday.
I can see that, having decided to backup the USB drive 1 again, TM needs to delete these existing backups, but I cannot figure out why it wants to back them up a second time anyway. I have not reconfigured the drive, changed encyptiuon parameters, etc. I should appreciate any thoughts re how I might investigate this further. Thank you.
MacBook Air, OS X Mountain Lion (10.8.2)