It will not work with the 30-pin to Lightning adapter. See footnote 3 in:
You need the Lightning Digital AV Adapter for the iPad Mini.
The 30pin x lighting adapter is only good for charging the new devices using the lighting plug. If you want to use the HDMI feature, you must buy the new HDMI x Lighting adapter. These are little things that Apple does not inform the public about when changing components such as the connector. I have both the iPad Air and the Mini iPad that uses the new lighting adapter and found the same error.