Humboldt County. I'm almost positive that if you received the "condolences email" that you're pretty much screwed for a launch day watch. The black aluminum sport model is the watch that got hit the hardest and I'm nearly certain Apple didn't realize the overwhelming demand for that model specifically, but they should have.
At this point I'm pretty certain we won't get our watches til mid to late next week and that might be optimistic. But, of course, it is still Thursday. We won't know for sure until tonight if we're screwed or not. Oh well. All of my accessories wont deliver til early May anyway. Guess I gotta stick it out with my crappy Pebble a little while longer.