Sure, anna, again you are right, but you are comparing two different scenarios. Factory storage of lithium elements, at air, which accelerates oxidization and once packed, that battery is accidentally aged with the symptoms described in the recall. Then you can have an 11 months /600 heavy cycles, 15 months /1000 cycles or any 700+ cycles where batteries can reach randomly a similar electrochimical state. Regardless of case, when they go bad, they go bad with similar symptoms. Like in medicine, very known heart attack signs. Very predictable. Now, take a battery that is more fragile, or which has always been discharged fast below 30%, it will be far less reactive than one with same or more cycles but rarely dropped to 0%. Changing amperage requirements, and that stress will be too much. Generally new installations, multiple app and re-syncing for 30-60 minutes will stress enough that battery. In electircal engineerign the word is 'stress'. More you can read in the tabs at: http://batteryuniversity.com/learn/article/how_to_prolong_lithium_based_batterie s
And, as yourself said, you can have new batteries, under recall, reading high health but recalled as defective. Everything works. Another good example you can relate to is auto racing, interlagos. Under slow normal usage those F1 cars can drive thousands of kms at 140 km/hr. But under racing condition, that car oil is only good for 1 race, 300-400kms. So all this to say that it is difficult to forecast the electrochimical state of each one of those 500 million iphones out there, but, every second, some batteries aged beyond what hey can hold. One cycle or heat away from giving up. The liquid is less responsive, drying out, power intermittent, the module starts reinterpreting the %, and may or not shut it down as a safety.
The problem with discussing the iOS effect is that if anyone here could do it expertly, he would be working for 7 figures with any company. People have a hard time understanding that any OS install or reinstall, drivers, etc imposes a stress amperage on the beating heart, i.e. battery. And if it works with higher amperage- just like Pokemon Go is known to do, than the battery was used to the prev 600 cycles, that is self explanatory.