Time Machine backup never finishes
I have a new Mac mini with a 4 Tb external drive attached. The drive is formatted to have three APFS partitions, one each for backing up the mini and two networked MacBook Pros. All devices have the latest Monterey software. The mini and the older (16-inch 2019) Pro back up with Time Machine just fine, but the newer (13-inch 2020) Pro hangs when backing up. TM will prepare the backup, copy some tens of Mb, then hang with a 'Calculating time remaining ...' message. I've tried rebooting all machines, stopping and restarting Time Machine, unmounting/first aid/remounting external drive, and various other voodoo smoke-and-mirrors incantations. I'm going nuts here, and could use some help.
MacBook Pro 13″, macOS 12.2