That seems convincing -
BUT
a change in iOS is highly likely not to be the cause. The reports here are very few in number, and the internet is not seeing 'millions' of complaints. Further, given past history, Apple will be exceptionally thorough in testing battery life and issues.
So where might this issue stem from?
A downloaded or maliciously introduced item of software which previously stayed within the parameters of 'OK'.
No one here has enumerated the 3rd party software they have onboarded. If ALL the people with problems did so, we may be able to find a common factor. Items such as Facebook, twitter - anything which remains active in the background may now find that due to a change in the OS constraints it used to have, it can now stay connected to the battery at all times. Facebook was notorious for such stuff - the laws of physics and operating systems state that anything in the execution stack will use energy, whether you know about it or not.
And let's face it, none of us know exactly what's going on, because there are no utilities (I'm aware of) that disclose what's in there at run time. Apple will have them, hackers will have them.
The closest you can get is to use the 'energy impact' information Apple provide.
The only way to positively identify the culprit would be to clear your iPhone - erase for resale. and then power on and conduct some timings for power loss. Add 1 application and redo the timing - and repeat.
I allow nothing to remain active, and close down - that is - Closed, not just asleep. everything when I'm done with it. Nothing anyone wants to send me is so important that it won't wait until I'm ready to check for inbound messages.
Batteries run for days and days...